Wednesday 6 June 2012

WHY GOLD PRICES ARE RISING,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


GOLD SOARS AND WILL SOAR AGAIN "TOMMOROW"

wednesday 06-06-2012, 11.45pm

Today on Wednesday gold futures has surging to a four-week high of USD1,621.95 a troy ounce rose by 0.32%. It earlier rose by as much as 1.4% to trade at USD1,642.15 a troy ounce, the highest since May 7. Investors hung on to hopes for action by global central banks and other authorities to stimulate growth and boost the world economy, boosting the appeal of the precious metal.

There are more reasons of what we have seen, a simple cause and effect relationship leading gold to its peak. Today on Wednesday after the news came from that European Central Bank kept rates unchanged and pledged to extend some of its liquidity providing operations. Gold seems to move upside and roses to its one month high of usd 1642.15 a troy. To find an cause and effect relationship here is interesting.

As we know that Greece crisis as well as a half build spain one keep creating problems for ECB and other global banks. So at this point of time they have left with two options either decrease the interest rate or to give more liquidity providing operations. As discuss in meeting that they will wait for the results of election to have a look on the position of Greece in euro zone and other economic concerns then they will try to give their support. So as they said  European Central Bank kept rates unchanged and pledged to extend some of its liquidity providing operations.

Draghi also said that main refinancing operations will continue to be conducted for as long as necessary, extending the operations until the end of the January 15, 2013.

 Which clearly give an indication that if more money will come to market it will certainly affect the value of euro as a currency as well as it will bring more inflation in country. so as a smart investor people are not interested in investing in currency or in government bond or in fixed income low interest rates securities or equities as it seems to loss its value. And an ultimate option left with investor is gold.To see the chart  of gold price click here 

http://www.forexpros.com/commodities/gold-streaming-chart

Investors hung on to hopes for action by global central banks and other authorities to stimulate growth and boost the world economy, boosting the appeal of the precious metal. Gold prices have rallied on past monetary stimulus measures. Investors tend to have faith on  the yellow metal on fears that excess liquidity would put a damper on the value of paper currencies and spark inflation. The precious metal is widely considered a hedge against inflation and a store of value.

This is what we have seen today but tomorrow also we can see the same rally in gold prices-

 Because Gold traders were now shifting their attention to a Congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Thursday about the state of the U.S. economy. Gold traders will be looking for clues as to the likelihood of a fresh round of monetary easing, which could potentially hurt the U.S. dollar and support gold. The Wall Street Journal, citing interviews and Fed speeches, reported late Tuesday that the U.S. central bank want to take new measures to stimulate growth in the world’s largest economy. QE has been a key driver in gold’s bull run, as I said earlier that if QE3 will be there means more money supply and dollar will certainly loss its value and it also bring more inflation. As it keeps interest rates and borrowing costs low, which makes gold more attractive compared with yield- or dividend-bearing assets such as bonds or stocks. So we can  see an upside move of gold tomorrow.


Monday 28 May 2012

“Raise in petrol price”


Why govt raise petrol prices


There has been lot of argument on the government raising the price of petrol in india by rs 7.5-8/ ltr. Of course for a common man it is certainly a huge Burden. But there is a matter to think on a sudden 7.5-8 rs increase on petrol price by government. Do you think for no reason government think to raise prices like this? The answer is

Tuesday 13 March 2012

Opportunity to invest today,,,,,,,,,,,,,,


This is a news for all retail investor who wants to book profit from todays (14-03-2012) market.
Today indian market will surely show a drastic upward move ( from 17814 it can open at an above 250 points), it may cross 18000 points today opening. so all investor has an opportunity to purchase shares, and  get your share at current market price in pre opening session ( 9:15 to 9:30) and sell it before the europe and other market will open (before 12 pm).Or you can also buy your share just after the market get open. But you may lose the profit you can get if you buy it at yesterdays close price.

Now come to the reasons for this optimistic view are,

U.S. stocks gained 1.9% Tuesday as investors welcomed a solid report on retail sales and a more upbeat statement from the Federal Reserve .


 Stocks have rallied this year on steadily improving U.S. economic data and hopes for a lasting solution to Europe's debt crisis. Today us market has grown up by 1.9% which shows a second time ever dowjones cross 13000 benchmark in last 8 to 10 years and close at 13178 points, which enhance retail as well as institutional investors confidence in us stock market because of the sentiment it create in mind of investor. With that growth of dow jones, nasdaq also has grown up to 3040 points which is the all time high since    11, dec  2000 in us.( the data are of till 3:00 pm ,14-04-2012)

Federal Reserve announce on Tuesday that,,,,,

In a statement, the central bank said the job market has improved, consumer spending has increased and inflation is under control.A separate report showed business inventories increased 0.7% in January, compared with a forecasted rise of 0.6%.Moreover jobs report shows that 227000 jobs are added in february, 2012.


federal reserve further says labor market conditions have improved,further the unemployment rate has declined notably in recent months. The government's key measure of inflation, the Consumer Price Index, showed prices rose 0.2% from December to January, slightly weaker than the 0.3% increase economists had predicted.In a important meeting today the central bank (fed) says central bank still plans to keep the federal funds rate at record lows "at least through late 2014." The Fed has held interest rates near zero since December 2008, hoping cheaper access to credit would lead economic growth.





The European Union signed off Tuesday on another Greek bailout package,,,,,,,

 The European Union signed off tuesday on another Greek bailout package after the country successfully completed a debt swap. On Thursday, the International Monetary Fund is expected to back a €28 billion contribution over four years to this particular program. The rescue payment totals €130 billion.

This news tuseday given a great momentum to European market too, where Britain's FTSE 100 gained 1.07%, france's CAC 40 jump 1.72% and germany's DAX gained 1.37%.( the data are of till 3:00 pm ,14-04-2012) Which will surely have a positive impact on indian financial market and it will go up.



All asian market has also shown gain yesterday which also boost the market to rise,,,,,,,
 Asian markets also finished higher on tuesday. The Shanghai Composite rose 0.9% and Japan's Nikkei gained  0.1%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong added 1.0%.



In that great market opportunity there are some events which we need to take care of,,,,,,,,, ?
 
 
 The railway budget is an important event today which will play a crucial role in the ups and downs of indian financial market today.if it shows good statistics than it would further take indian market to more heights and if the budget is not upto the expectation of indian market or say industry it will have an impact upto certain level but at the end i hope market will close on positive side because,
-rail minister of india mr.dinesh trivedi has already raise fright charges by 20-25% on last tuesday.
so that he can show this income to reduce the deficit in his budget.
-further as mr.dinesh stated in his interview that the passengers fair will be increase which has not been increase from 2002-03, which will again a reduction in deficit if any deficit is there.
-And this budget seems toi be good for those company which are highly dependent on railways because,
   
Orrisa Government has also demanded 35 new trains in rail budget 2012 for Orrisa state people. Jharkhand Government has also demanded six new trains in Rail budget 2012 for Jharkhand state. He has also demanded increase of train frequencies. Gujarat State’s Member of Parliament has demanded bullet train in Rail budget 2012 between Ahmedabad to Mumbai. Gujarat has also demanded new 35 service for their state in Indian Railways Budget 2012-13.  


And, According to reports, the budget should focus more on adding to the rail infrastructure, railway modernisation which was recommended by Sam Pitroda Committee, passenger security and work on the dedicated freight lines, should be accelerated to avoid congestion on the operative routes. so to full-fill these demands railways has to show some investment in new trains which will help

The compnaies like1-TITAGHAR WAGONS   
                               2-BEML
                               3-TEXMACO
                               4-IVRCL
                               5-NCC
                               6-ERA INFRASTRUCTURE
                               7-KALINDEE RAIL

Titaghar and some companies are manufacturing wagons and rail choch for raliways.These are the potential beneficiary of this railway budget means we have to look upon these companies in particular. there share price will increase may less for one company and more for other but there has to be a price increase.


And compnies like 1-ULTRATECH CEMENT
                              2-ACC
                              3-JAIPRAKASH
                              4-AMBUJA CEMENT 
                              5-OIL INDIA
Aned all the companies transport their goods more in railways let say  Coal ,cement etc companies
majors will going to lose the share price because the fright charges are increased already and for reduction in budget deficit some more charges can be there.
 
Secondly the future datas from us market and condition of Europe crisis,,,,,

GDP DATA US (CPI) -16th march , IMF'S decision on contribution in Europe crisis



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